Wednesday 22 August 2012

York's Ebor Meeting - Day One

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MASS RALLY has held his form well throughout this season, without getting his head in front, and despite that, he has ran with great consistency and aplomb in sprint handicaps, and all forms of ground thus far. Second at Ascot and Doncaster over five and six furlongs, as well as finishing prominent in decent company at Hamilton, Newcastle and Thirsk. He put his best performance to date in last time out at Ascot, flying late on, unlucky not to get up late on the line. Paul Mulrennan has been riding very well thus far this season, and has 11 wins and 25 further places for Michael Dods, from 74 rides, and a near 15% strike rate.

The Accomb Stakes is a Group Three for two year olds, and whilst the market principles will most likely favour Alonso De Sousa for Ballydoyle and Dundonnell for Prince Khalid Abdullah, the most interesting runner is STEELER for Mark Johnston and Kieren Fallon. This horse was backed like defeat was out of the question last time out in a hot Goodwood maiden, and got up late to win well in the end, over seven furlongs. The Raven’s Pass colt is the trainers only two year old with a feast of entries and is clearly well thought of back home. The fact he is even in this level of race speaks volumes, and no one rides on the Knavesmire like that man Fallon.

The Great Voltigeur Stakes this year has an emphasis on quality rather than quantity, it really is a mouth-watering renewal. Encke pushed Noble Mission close last time out at Goodwood, and renew their rivalry here. Energiser has Frankie Dettori on as supposed second string too. Main Sequence was narrowly touched off in the Grand Prix De Paris, and his third in The Derby is the strongest piece of form. That being said, I like the progressive profile of THOMAS CHIPPENDALE, who had the beating of both Noble Mission, and the reappearing Thought Worthy here. The Sir Henry Cecil trained, Robert Ogden owned colt arrived last year with a lofty reputation, and put greenness aside to win his maiden at the second attempt. Off a mark of 86, he came strode up cantering before tiring on his first run of the season, before winning incredibly well over 10 furlongs in a similar contest at Newmarket. He won The King Edward at Royal Ascot coming away, and seems to be improving at a rate of knots. Main Sequence obviously sets a high standard, but given this Dansili colt’s rate of progression, he is taken to edge out the two.

TWICE OVER came back to form with a creditable run behind Nathaniel and Farhh in The Coral Eclipse, and he is the one given the nod to chase home his stablemate Frankel in The Juddmonte International, the highlight of the first day of the Ebor Festival. He ran behind Farhh and Nathaniel, who in their next runs finished second behind Frankel and Danedream in their subsequent runs, with Sri Putra winning a Group Two in his next run. Twice Over’s record at York is exceptional, 3211, all in group company, including winning this race last year. This 10 furlong specialist should be helped with the strong pace, and can bring home a second successive 1-2 for owner and sponsor Prince Khalid Abdullah, who should have Frankel romp home, with Twice Over around six lengths down in second.

The two mile handicap is one of, if not the most open and exciting handicap of the meeting, barring the Ebor itself. Full of illustrious pedigrees, handicap plots, and national hunt runners, it is an absolute minefield. A real mixed bag, and with a field this strong, there will be a lot of pace in the race, which will mean there will be an emphasis on stamina and jockeyship. NEVER CAN TELL immediately makes the shortlist given his ability to handle big fields with strong pace in, and Frankie Dettori, while not the force of old, excels at big meetings and big occasions. Olympiad could have lots of improvement to come, and will surely come on for better ground, given his pedigree, and how unexposed the colt is with only four starts to his name. Countrywide Flame is the real dark horse, with his old sparring partner Grumeti doing well when switching codes earlier in the summer. What is encouraging is how the yard are hitting form at the right time, and with stamina proven, will be there or thereabouts at the finish, providing he is fit and fresh.

The 4.50 at York is another home sponsored race with The Talk To Victor Handicap being a Class 2 affair, and being full of past and future group horses, with Danadana heading the weights for Luca Cumani and Kieren Fallon. He was laboured last time out, but hung rather badly, and wasn’t overly knocked about by Kieren Fallon, his form however before that was strong, with two good handicap wins, against strong fields, he should be better than the bare result last time out. KALK BAY is similarly well fancied, and is well in after two good handicap wins, over the same trip. Paul Mulrennan rides for local trainer Mick Easterby and carrying a 6lb penalty, should be there or thereabouts and looks a well drawn out plot for the craftiest of trainers.

The Yorkshireman – Jack Milner

@JJMSports


The Yorkshireman - Jack Milner

Follow me on Twitter - @JJMSports

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