Wednesday 22 August 2012

York's Ebor Festival - Day Two - Let’s hear if for the girls!

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York will be in full swing after the first day, and the second holds no let up. There are a few ‘shorties’ on offer, so depending how down the kitty is after day one, and dependant on the size of your grapefruits, there may be a few ‘make or break’ races with Newfangled, The Fugue and Main Sequence looking like going off very short, and could make for some exciting punting ahead. Let’s hear if for the girls!

The Yearling Stakes is a six furlong dash for two year olds, and is generally a strong race for the north, who have taken the majority of renewals in recent years, with the Ryan, Johnston and Fahey having more success than Dick Turpin had on The Knavesmire. Richard Fahey has two runners, as does Kevin Ryan; however none put forward any overwhelming claims. Arguably the most progressive juvenile in the field is BLESSNIGTON, who stepped up well from his Windsor debut to win at Goodwood in impressive fashion. He beat a strong field that day, winning coming away after being prominent throughout, and the bare form of that race looks rather strong. The third and the sixth won next time out, and the ninth and fourteenth were second in maidens on their next run. The Gosden and Buick team are having a season to remember, and I expect them to have a very fruitful day here on Thursday.

I have gone over The Lowther Stakes umpteen times, and have looked, searched and foraged for reasons why NEWFANGLED will get beat, and can’t find any. I really don’t like short priced favourites in two year group races, and it certainly isn’t one to go lumping in, but the manner of her Ascot win was scintillating. She was well backed, and pulled hard early, under a canny ride from Will Buick saw her pull her way to the front and not look back, she looks like she has pace to burn. The filly is out of a Machiavellian mare and a daughter of New Approach, she will get better with age, in the mean time however six furlongs is probably her optimum trip. Roshdu Queen battled well in a five furlong listed race last time out, and is the main danger.

Kieren Fallon is an extremely eye-catching booking for ANDERIEGO for David O’ Meara, and the four year old is already carving out to be something of a course and distance specialist, a winner of two straight one mile York handicaps. The Invincible Spirit gelding is up a combined 13lb for the two wins, but won both in commanding fashion, winning well, staying on towards the finish before eased down. There could be a bit more in the tank, and no doubt the stable have been aiming him at the race after his wins in similar company.

THE FUGUE has been one of the most unlucky of Group One winners this season, the irony of all ironies, and will take all the beating if replicating her high level of overall form. The classic generation receive 10lb from their elders and as such, it should pay to focus on the youngsters, as seen with Blue Bunting last year. The Fugue was at her most impressive when winning The Musidora Stakes here over 10 furlongs, and then winning The Nassau Stakes over the same distance, so the step up once more to a mile and a half could be a worry. Looking through her form though however, she is yet to run a bad race, irrespective of trip. Third in The Oaks when Was pinched it from the front, and second to Princess Highway in ground less than ideal. She sets the standard and comes out 3lb clear of the field on official ratings. She is the one to beat.

The way Ryan Moore rode the filly SEQUENCE last time out showed how good this daughter of Selkirk must be. Running in a Newmarket handicap over a mile and a half, off an average gallop Moore took the race by the scruff of the neck, hitting the front, and not stopping. She won the race by nine lengths, eased down, and as such gets a revised mark of 100. However, she is unexposed and should be still improving, and in another race where the three year olds get bundles of weight, she will be hard to oppose and to beat. The manner of her two victories when switching from maidens to handicap suggest she has a lot to offer, and now running in Listed grade, it may be another stepping stone, as long as she first of all acquires that elusive black type.

The seven furlong handicap that closes the card is a very tricky contest, and Ladyship will no doubt go off short, beaten a nose last time out, a well bred filly for Sir Michael Stoute, and the step up in trip should suit her. Jade and Riot of Colour get in on nice marks, and are respected, but it could be worth taking a chance on DUTCH ROSE for David O’ Meara and Danny Tudhope. The Dutch Art filly is a course and distance winner. Running off a 7lb higher mark at Goodwood, and she ran well to finish seventh of sixteen runners in a handicap where the form is already starting to work out well, with the winner winning a valuable race at Chester next time out. She has won four from six starts so far this term, and is clearly a filly that is enjoying her racing, and despite her highest ever mark of 86, she still has more to offer.

2.00 York – Blessington
2.30 York – Newfangled
3.05 York – Anderiego
3.40 York – The Fugue (Nap)
4.15 York – Sequence (Nb)
4.50 York – Dutch Rose


The Yorkshireman - Jack Milner

Follow me on Twitter - @JJMSports

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