Wednesday 1 August 2012

Glorious Goodwood - Day Three

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Asatir is unbeaten thanks to two handicap wins either side of the season, but the form of his three victories does not amount to much, even if he is on an upward curve. Similar story for Hefner, who is likely to be short due to connections and Hallings Comet doesn’t look to have beaten much in two starts this term. Compare that to OPINION, who bounced back from a lacklustre effort over a mile to trounce a good field, mainly thanks to a belter from Ryan Moore. He really got a tune out of the colt, who is impressively bred, by Oasis Dream, out of a Saddlers Wells mare, and the second, third and fifth won next time out, and the fourth was second. He looks the one to beat.

There isn’t a lot to split Cay Verde and Ahern from Royal Ascot, but at the prices, it has to be CAY VERDE. Only beaten three lengths at Royal Ascot after winning a good Listed Race at The Curragh, Mick Channon’s stable won the big juvenile race on Tuesday, and he looks to have another promising prospect to complete a rare double.

SADDLERS ROCK seems to finally have the ground that he has so desperately been yearning for and the dry underfoot conditions, and quick ground should give him the edge over the veterans. Still only a four year old colt, he was far from disgraced in the Gold Cup, when Godolphin got the fractions spot on, finishing one-two, with Colour Vision the Gold Cup winner, re-opposing here. Simeon is a tough Willie Mullins jumper, who won twice at Royal Ascot, but doesn’t have the class to compete with Saddlers Rock, who is held in the highest regard by John Oxx and his stable.

ESTIMATE was my Nap as the best bet for the last day of Royal Ascot, and she duly hacked up for Her Majesty in the Queen’s Vase, appropriately enough. Although now stepping down in trip, she looks a good thing in the fillies Group 3 Lillie Langtry Stakes. Exceptionally bred, she was well backed and obliged in style, winning by five lengths. Although the form hasn’t worked out too well, but as a three year filly she gets a bundle of weight, and as top rated already, she already has pounds in hand on the field. It look’s like she will get the pace on offer too, it should set up nicely.

The maiden looks trickier than a crafty fox, and given the Hannon pair will be well punted, we can’t look there, I like the Osbourne horse, but JP Spencer on board, and that means I don’t. GOLDEN CAUSEWAY looks good on paper, and looking through her entries, she must be held in quite high regard. Entries in the filly’s mile, two year old trophy are eye-catching and the Hills team have done well with their juveniles this year. Market support would be even more persuasive.

DUCTH ROSE has been winning well for the shrewd David O’ Meara yard, and he has now won four of his last five starts. The jump from maiden win to handicapping hatrick has seen the Dutch Art filly raised 26lb since the start of her run. Her form is strong, with the last win in particular, the only three to come out and run have finishing 1-4-2. The stable are having winners everywhere, and expect another strong show.

The last race of the day, another one of them pesky sixteen runner three year old handicaps, and arguments can be made about a few. It’s hard to find some value, but CLON BRULEE goes for the shrewd David Barron yard, and the form of his two handicap wins look good, next time out winners in both, and is 2lb well in.

2.15 Goodwood – Opinion (NB)
2.45 Goodwood – Cay Verde
3.15 Goodwood – Saddlers Rock
3.45 Goodwood – Estimate (Nap)
4.20 Goodwood – Golden Causeway
4.55 Goodwood – Dutch Rose
5.25 Goodwood – Clon Brulee

The Yorkshireman - Jack Milner

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