Tuesday 7 August 2012

Tuesday Racing at Bath, Catterick and Ripon 7/8/2012

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Just a brief look at Tuesday’s cards, nothing too serious, with racing like this, you don’t always know who or what is playing with a full deck, pardon my cynicism..

MEDICOE bypasses handicapping for another tilt at a maiden, and Sir Mark Prescott’s son of Medicean has stayed on well over six furlongs both times to suggest a tilt at seven should shed the maiden tag at the fourth attempt. GAP PRINCESS has come back and shaped nicely in two comeback runs this season and now with the cheek pieces back on, the mare can improve further still. I flagged this partnership up last week, and with two wins in the bag in the last week, it would be rude not to bring up the hatrick here. IRISH GIRL’S SPIRIT was my Nap last Wednesday, and I was devastated to find she was a non runner that day, but out again tomorrow, I shall remain loyal, and the way she ran in her only two handicaps she is another, hopefully, well in.

IRRATIONAL’s form figures this season read 6-9-4, but they are a lot better when actually going through the form book and analysing the races. The sixth of nine was the filly’s comeback run, after a 213 day absence. Then last of 9, where she practically fell out of the stalls and never travelled. The last fourth suggested a return to form, beaten less than two lengths, staying on over six furlongs. Down to a new low mark of 57, she looks on a very workable figure.

2.20 Catterick – Medicoe
3.20 Catterick – Gap Princess
4.20 Catterick – Irish Girls Spirit
5.20 Catterick – Irrational

Starting off in a maiden at Bath, and Chris Caitlin rides the quirky course particularly well, with a 25% strike rate there in the last twelve months. He rides TREGERETH for Jonathan Portman, and the Footstepsinthesand filly can build after two promising runs already this season. She was third last time out over course and distance, beaten five lengths behind subsequent handicap winner Dream Maker for Tom Dascombe. With another run under her belt, and improvement to come, she will take all of the beating and then some.

THE NOBLE ORD has been running to a decent standard all season, without getting any rub of the green, or rub of anything else for that matter. Down to a new low of 72 last time out, the gelding was beaten less than two lengths into fourth in a fourteen runner handicap. Liam Keniry is back on board, and given he has a win and a second from three starts with the three year old.

I really, really don’t like backing horses who are officially out of the handicap, but I will make a rare exception with RUPEETOUPS for Henry Candy and Douglas Sweeney, another track specialist, with a 20% strike rate and +£26 profit for £1 stake in the last twelve months. Not really put in to three maidens, off a mark of 46, it seems more than fair, and with the stable flying, you are sure to see some money for this one, especially now gelded.

SPINNING WATERS
is a game old horse for Dai Burchell, and the now six year old is on an attractive mark of 46 after an eye catching third last time out over two miles at Chepstow. The tired late on, and over the trip again, with fitness sharper, and more rivals with stamina doubts, he could go close. Kelly Harrison in the plate is a positive for me.

SHADES OF GREY proved to be the handicap good thing twice, when bolting up each time, the latter by five lengths and is expected to complete the hatrick in style, despite an 8lb rise. He looks to be going the right way, and when you get a mare enjoying herself, she tends to thrive.

2.00 Bath – Tregereth
3.00 Bath – The Noble Ord
3.30 Bath – Rupeetoups
4.30 Bath – Spinning Waters
5.00 Bath – Shades of Grey


MOVIESTA was rather frustrating last time out, the penny dropping too late, but when it did, the colt ran on rather strongly in the closing stages to suggest there is plenty more to come. With some impressive entries in his arsenal, and the run behind him he should come on a bundle.

OUR DIANE ran nothing like the race she ought to last time at York when being backed off the boards, and is expected to bounce back in style at Ripon in the 6.35 Nursery. She was given a questionable ride to say the least, and with hopefully different tactics now employed, she should run much better, and as the initial money and promise suggested.

ASTRA HALL is another of these Ralph Beckett horse lowly handicapped then laughs in the face of Phil Smith and his boys, winning twice with a relative ease both times. Despite the rise, the filly is clearly far better than a rating of 62 suggests, and expect a long streak on the way to an eventual mark around the 80-90 mark.

SINGEUR was well supported last time out in a good handicap for Robin Bastiman, and ran a creditable sixth on his season debut. That run should have put him spot on for this class three handicap, and his record at the minimum trip is exemplary, with a 40% strike rate.

The final selection is GABRIALS STAR who ran a blinder behind Sir Michael Stoute’s Sequence at Thirsk over a mile and a half, and is now stepped up for a tilt at two miles for the first time. A Hernando colt out of a Machiavellan mare, there is plenty of stamina in the pedigree, and with him staying on well last time out; this could further bring the colt along.

6.05 Ripon – Moviesta
6.35 Ripon – Our Diane
7.05 Ripon – Astra Hall
7.35 Ripon – Singeur
8.05 Ripon – Gabrials Star

The Yorkshireman – Jack Milner
Follow me on Twitter - @JJMSports

The Yorkshireman - Jack Milner

Follow me on Twitter - @JJMSports

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