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ORSIPPUS has already been well backed, and has been running well over the extended trips on the flat to warrant supporting in the opener, a hotly contested two mile-five furlongs handicap. Nicky Henderson has three, including the hot favourite Cape Express, Veiled and Sentry Duty, but none offers great appeal at current prices. Orsippus however has a rejuvenated K Fallon on board and has consistent form of 4214 since returning from the National Hunt sphere. His win in June at Pontefract came over 18 furlongs, and over the sticks he has form at this 21 furlong trip, third behind the smart Carlito Brigante in last years Coral Cup. Plenty of smart runners were in that field, and off a mark of 82 (136 NH), he should go close. As should TROVARE who landed a monster gamble at Kempton, before finishing second next time out under a penalty. The stable have finally found the answer to this five year old, and although now up 6lb, is still relatively unexposed.
GHURAR is a massively respected colt for the evergreen John Gosden and his formidable stable, and with Paul Hanagan on board for Sheikh Hamdan, he will take all the beating. 2/1 looks quite short though, despite him winning a smart Newmarket maiden and the value instead lay in MAXENTIUS - who didn’t handle the heavy ground last time out behind Olympic Glory at HQ. He set tongues wagging when winning pretty much on the bridle at Doncaster and still ran with credit in the mud. On better ground for an in form stable, he should go well.
Frankel wins by nine lengths. End of; enjoy.
The mile and a half handicap looks a very trappy affair and the race Stature won last time out has worked well, with similar profiles for Mawaqeet and Rule Book. I do instead however like two at biggish prices and for GASSIN GOLF and TREND IS MY FRIEND – both at working mans prices. Gassin Golf is a beautifully bred colt for Sir Mark Prescott who ran just plain too bad to be true last time out at Chester, never settling. He is a lot better than that on the basis of his Haydock win, Luke Morris was on him then, and is back on today, and think he could be an each way price at around the 25/1 mark. Similarly Trend is my Friend, who won well and on merit at Sandown on Eclipse Day. I backed the colt then, and he looks to be going the right way, stepped up in trip with a 5lb increase from the handicapper.
One of the best looking maidens of the meeting, and there is no shortage of class. Pearl Sea is favourite based on placed efforts in two maidens with subsequent winners, but there is absolutely no chance of me backing or tipping a Jamie Spencer favourite in a seventeen runner maiden. CUT NO ICE looks a smart type for Paul Cole, and would be no surprise to see the filly build on her good third last time out at Newbury. The stable are in good nick, and the winner and the fourth have both come out and won next time out. Similarly HASBAH for Peter Chapple-Hyam, whose two year olds have been running well, a narrow second on Monday, and the Cape Cross filly can step up from a good fourth on debut at Yarmouth. She led two furlongs out before fading, but wasn’t knocked about and will have learnt a lot from the run. The winner has since hacked up in a conditions race by seven lengths.
Jay-sus these handicaps don’t get any easier, a seventeen runner affair once more, with nine furlongs the trip, and plenty of unexposed sorts. Won last year by Dandy Nicholls, and trainers from the north have a strong record, and as such, have plenty entered. The Quinlan team have two, but the pick looks to be ARIYFA, formerly with John Oxx and bred by The Aga Khan in Ireland, he looks to have a bit of class about him. Placed in two solid handicaps this year, he should be on the upgrade, his last run was third behind Jack’s Revenge, who went down by two necks yesterday, the form looks good. William Buick in the plate is a big positive too. CHIGUN won a maiden by ten lengths coming away over a mile last time out at Salisbury, and is up 10lb for that, but was mightily impressive to see. With the form of the stable at current present, she is a beautifully bred filly and could improve again still.
How Dubawi Sound can be a 2/1 favourite in an eighteen runner Goodwood handicap is beyond me. With Harry Bentley on board, claiming 3lb, he is also 6lb ahead of the handicap, so hypothetically 9lb well in, but off top weight and running just four days later, far too short for my liking. TRIPLE CHARM has a much more likeable profile, and is well worth taking a chance on for Jeremy Noseda and William Buick. He seems to be on the right side of the handicapper, and was given a poor ride to try and weave through traffic and leave it too late at Kempton Park. I have a feeling that on turf, the Pivotal filly could run a solid race. Similarly THE CONFESSOR who has been lowered 2lb for not performing at all like she can in the extremely soft going at Yarmouth. She wasn’t given a hard time, and given his form in seven furlong handicaps, it would be no surprise to see the five year old bounce back.
2.00 Goodwood – Orsippus & Trovare
2.35 Goodwood – Maxentius (Nap)
3.45 Goodwood – Gassin Golf & Trend is my Friend
4.20 Goodwood – Cut No Ice & Hasbah
4.55 Goodwood – Ariyfa & Chigun
5.25 Goodwood – Triple Charm & The Confessor
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