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The Wyndham Championship has us dipping our toe back into the golf punting pond, and as the metaphor suggest, this fish is going for a swim once more. The course favours those straight off the tee, a par 70 course, the players with strong tee-to-green form, and driving accuracy is a must. Nothing flashy put the ball on the fairway.
Carl Petterson is fancied by many, but doesn’t strike me as a man who can prove reliable when putting my hard earned (sort of) wonga on him. I’ve backed him a few times, mainly based on the fact he drives it long and has a strong short game, he is the 11th best stroke maker on the tour, not exactly in the ilk of Mickleson and McIlroy etc, but he will make strides, just not for me. Neither is Jason Dufner, who has cooled off after a strong start to the year. The season may be taking it’s toll on the twice winner already this season, and although arguably the class runner in the field, with a World Ranking of 9, and respectable efforts in the WGC and USPGA Championship, his price is far too short for my liking.
Webb Simpson won this last year, and I was very sweet on him at the start of the season, backing him for The Players. After his torrential performance there, I shunned him, for him to obviously pop up and win The US Open. His form since then has been 29-7-MC, and it is worrying that for someone priced around 12/1, he has only played three tournaments in two months, again, far too short.
Looking at the closing sentence of the opening paragraph, it seems obvious and rather simple, but just hit it straight, stay out of the thick stuff, don’t try anything flashy. Looking at the basics, and the prices, there are two current players who fit criteria, and look at very decent prices. The first being Brandt Snedeker – who is looking for his second win on tour this season. I have liked him for a while, but it has been difficult to accept, considering he broke my heart when beating Luke Donald in a play off last year in The Heritage; when I had my biggest ever golf punt to date on Luuuuke at 10s (sobs). His performance on the greens are incredible, being 5th in strokes gained, and 7th in birdie average, a man to trust around the flags, a good omen in Olympic season. His stand out form of third at The Open three weeks ago shows he is in fine fettle, and at 28/1 with Sporting Bet, he is a great each way price, considering he won this event in 2008, and since finished T5 in 2009 and T8 in 2010, in a game of horses for courses, surely he is too big at 28/1?!
Another previous winner is the complete opposite of flash, bang wallop, and the 2009 winner Ryan Moore usually comes good at this time of the year, lets hope it is here. The Washington native is super consistent, having only missed three cuts all season, and his -16 here in 2009, showed that with 64-65-70-65. Put a line through the USPGA, which was a freak tournament, seen with Rory, he was T8 at The John Deere Classic, going low at -14. That was his third post of -10 or lower this season, and I think he could shoot something similar here, just a question of whether that will get in the money. His rank of 43rd on tour should stand him good stead in a field with the majority of big guns missing. No major European Tour players, and no Americans the like of Woods, Mickelson, Bubba etc. Again, with Sporting Bet, and also Sky Bet, Coral, Betfred and others, 50/1 looks too good for a grinder and grafter like Moore.
Another arrer being chucked, cheeky darts, darts metaphor for you there, is Nick Watney who like a horse being sent to Lingfield, has dropped down the handicap, but he still has a decent all round game, and a drop in class here, in much lower grade. Again, put a line through the USPGA, it has absolutely zero affect on the players, considering it was such a strange week. Prior to that, Watney had five straight Top 25 performances, nine so far this season, generally with decent scores. Another one of these ‘all round’ players, with a current ranking of 65th all round on tour. He generally starts well, and in a tournament with no big guns, if he goes low early, he could be difficult to topple. If he gets his tail up, confidence going, and has the potential and unquestionably the ability to go close and go deep, pardon the expression.
Two longshots and supposed underdogs at big prices to throw into the mix are Jerry Kelly and Heath Slochum, both of whom are steady veterans with exceptional driving accuracy percentages. Kelly is the leading Driving Accuracy player on tour, with five top 25 finishes already this season, again, he fits a nice profile. He has broken par on his last five tournaments and is clearly in good fettle, he was T4 last year, and could be a nice each way price at 100/1. Heath Slochum, who is another one at the top of the driving accuracy tables, is a grizzly pro at another big price. He has been there or thereabouts, without making a dramatic impact as of yet this season, yet put his best performance of the season in at The True South Classic, T13 with a score of -14, he could be coming into a nice bit of form. Third in driving accuracy and 47th in greens in regulation, the template of his game should suit the course, and is another, beautiful price at 125/1, not greedy, I’ll take a place! ;)
Selections
Brandt Snedeker – 28/1 2pts EW (Sporting Bet)
Nick Watney – 40/1 1pt EW (SportingBet, Coral, Betfred, SkyBet, BetVictor)
Ryan Moore – 50/1 1pt EW (BetVictor, Sporting Bet, and others)
Jerry Kelly – 100/1 0.5pt EW (BetVictor, Sporting Bet, and others)
Heath Slochum – 125/1 0.5pt EW (BetVictor, Sporting Bet, and others)
The Yorkshireman - Jack Milner
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