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Friday is when the heavy artillery is deployed, still on a recoup mission from Estimate, and there are a fair few horses that have been in my long term thinking, and I intend to get the overalls dirty so to speak. Let’s not waste time hyping it up, and let’s get stuck in.
The Flying Childers is a five furlongs sprint for the speediest juveniles around, the G2 contest generally favours those who ran well at Royal Ascot, such as past winners Fleeting Spirit, Zebedee and Requinto. That makes HOYAM an immediate positive for Michael Bell and Jamie Spencer. The filly ran a game second to Ceiling Kitty in The Queen Mary Stakes, before finishing third behind Maureen over six furlongs her stamina stretched. She won last time out in a listed race at York, beating Fire Eyes hard held, under a very cheeky trademark Jamie Spencer ride. Sir Prancelot is respected given the manner of his runs in France behind Reckless Abandon, but getting 3lb and at the prices; Hoyam looks the much better option.
TOMINATOR was extremely unlucky in The Ebor, and duly made amends next time out at Chester in a hot looking handicap, coming away and winning well. Up 2lb to a mark of 98, he is still 2lb below the mark where he finished a game fourth in the same race last year. He is thriving, and should be there or thereabouts, at around the 8/1 mark, he is a cracking each way bet. Old Hundred won this well last year, and is respected, as is Sir Graham Wade for Mark Johnston, who met trouble in running and still won last time out, he is officially 6lb in at the official weights, and is a very deserved favourite. However the manner of his flop in The Melrose is still something of a worry, and he has been on the go all summer long.
SADDLERS ROCK finally mixed it with the big boys, showing a tremendous attitude to win this last year, despite Opinion Poll and Frankie Dettori came up looming on the outside pulling double. He won The Goodwood Cup in style, under a great ride from J P Murtagh, who is back in the saddle after Niall McCullagh’s horrible attempt of front running at York. Under a more patient ride, with Murtagh expecting to control the fractions, the field get 4lb from Colour Vision due to his Group One penalty, and I expect the four year old colt to make amends in style for The Emerald Isle.
The May Hill Stakes is a fillies G2 over the Doncaster straight mile, and is a race where Godolphin have a terrific record, so it would be no surprise to see Certify bolt up for Mikael Barzalona. She comfortably beat Sky Lantern, who went on to win The Moyglare Stakes at The Curragh, and she sets an impressive standard. The third that day ran very well, and may come on for that run and that is the well bred REYAADAH for Charlie Hills and Paul Hanagan. The filly hung left on Newmarket’s infamous undulating track, and on a flat galloping track like Doncaster, she may be worth a punt at double figure prices to fill the placings.
ASHDAN turned up at a Newmarket maiden with a massively touted reputation, and duly obliged, coming away to win well by three lengths from a field full of promising juveniles. A conditions stakes should be well within the realms of this promising colt, which has entries for The Royal Lodge, Dewhurst, Racing Post Trophy and next year’s Derby. No Jet Lag won a nothing race last time out, and will be under-priced based on the form figures next to his name, but the form is worthless.
Duke of Firenze will be ridiculously short in the 4.05, a six and a half furlong handicap, and although well in officially at the weights, I am not the type of person to back a 2/1f in a sixteen runner handicap, that is one sure fire way to go skint. Instead there are a couple of interesting contenders are very chunky comparable prices. LADIES ARE FOREVER runs off top weight but is a listed and group winning filly, who is a smart home-bred in those familiar R Bond silks, for trainer Geoff Oldroyd. She runs well fresh, and will appreciate the drop in class; she has amazingly never before run in a handicap. Off a mark of 104, the trainer will be looking to capitalise on being dropped 5lb this season by the handicapper. Another interesting contender is CAPE CLASSIC, who was the long term ante post favourite for The Stewards Cup before losing his way in the summer. A strong third last time out at Haydock hinted at a renaissance, and off a lowly mark of 90, he could be the dark horse in a field, and hopefully goes un-noticed with all the attention focused on the jolly.
The last race is another muddling affair, a fifteen runner classified stakes race, and there are unfortunately no immediate eye-catchers. Pink Damsel had the penny drop late on to win a maiden over a mile and a half, and although disappointing in the Ribblesdale, was by no means disgraced, providing she bounces back, she is a danger, but Roger Varian horses are generally under-priced animals. The one that catches the eye is KEENE DANCER for Sir Michael Stoute and this filly was ten lengths down to The Fugue on her debut late last year. She built on that to finish fourth at Salisbury before winning a maiden and a handicap over a mile at Windsor. Her run at Goodwood was too bad to be true, and could be a case of, like so many before her, just not handling the downs. She is still unexposed, and should get a mile and a quarter, and is taken to bounce back in style.
1.15 Doncaster – Hoyam (Nb)
1.50 Doncaster – Tominator (Ew)
2.20 Doncaster – Saddlers Rock (Nap)
2.55 Doncaster – Reyaadah (Ew)
3.30 Doncaster – Ashdan (Nb)
4.05 Doncaster – Ladies Are Forever (Ew) & Cape Classic (Ew)
4.40 Doncaster – Keene Dancer
The Yorkshireman - Jack Milner
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