Tuesday 17 July 2012

Tuesday Racing at Beverley and Ffos Las

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BADA BING looks entitled to step up from his first run of the season when finishing second last time out, and on what was only his first run back this season. The Scott Dixon trained gelding only went down by a neck, going off an unfancied 12/1 shot on the day, but given the fact he still only has four runs to his name, he is unexposed and open to much more progression than the majority of his rivals. Red hot Robert Winston landed a 130/1 double at York on Friday and takes the ride. Scott Dixon also trains STYLYSTICKHILL who he trains and owns, and what runs in the 3.30. He looks overpriced at this current odds of around the 14/1 mark after signing off last year with form figures of 1-3-2, all at Wolverhampton. He returned from a near seven month break at Doncaster three weeks ago, running with credit stepped up in trip, finishing a tired sixth of nine runners. She looked in need of the run that day, and being dropped 2lb by the handicapper for that, she could run a big race.
The Mark Johnston team seem to be gradually coming round after a frightful couple of weeks in between Royal Ascot and Newmarket’s July meeting, and he has. MOON TRIP who is a gelded son of Cape Cross, and has shown glimpses of ability without really firing. However now on a mark of 75; he can build on such promise shown last year. Out of a King’s Best mare, he is stepped up two miles for the first time, and that may unlock the key with him. Franny Norton has a good strike rate for the trainer, and this being only his fourth run of the season, he is bred to be better than what he has shown thus far. Similarly with TINSELTOWN who flopped last time out at Yarmouth after hacking up at Catterick on soft ground under Joe Fanning. She didn’t seem to see the trip out that day, upped to a mile and three quarters and it is interesting that the gelding is dropped down to 10 furlongs after winning a couple of two mile novice hurdles over the winter. She again could be overpriced in one of these lady rider races, with one of the best in the game on her in Amy Ryan.

2.00 Bada Bing (Nap)
3.30 Stylistickhill
4.00 Moon Trip
5.30 Tinseltown

Advised Bet – Win Lucky 15

Ffos Las looks a much trickier proposition, with the weather proving to be unrelenting once more, and the ground will be look to have any form of hold in it whatsoever and is the sodden side of heavy. Horses proven around the track and an even greater emphasis on those proven on conditions. It is going to be wetter than an otters pocket down in sunny south Wales.

It isn’t really the most fashionable of selections but Jim Crowley and Ralph Beckett have an excellent record at Ffos Las and Chepstow and send down a promising filly in CITY GIRL, who was a beaten favourite last time out in a good looking maiden at Sandown. She lost by a head that day, and is a talented filly, being by Elusive City, she should go on the ground, and should get the Lucky 15 off to a decent enough start.

Bernard Llewellyn usually goes mob handed in some of the open handicaps down here, and there are two races where he has three runners alone. One of his is PANDORICA who put up her best effort in a long time in very soft conditions at Ayr over 1 mile 5 furlongs. She led three furlongs out, before tiring and I expect Chris Catlin to attempt to make all on the filly, knowing she stays further than the trip.

2.15 City Girl
3.45 Pandorica

Advised Bet – Win Double

The Yorkshireman – Jack Milner

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