Thursday 20 June 2013

Royal Ascot - Friday; Day Four

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Day four, lets hope the last two days are better than the first three.


Sandiva will be popular in The Albany Stakes after blitzing a good field in a Listed contest in Ireland, but I wouldn’t want to be backing anything with Frankie Dettori on at the minute, and the famously bred Joyeuse can bring a much heralded win for Lady Cecil and Warren Place. She won a maiden comfortably at Lingfield, and has much more to come, being a half-sister to the world’s greatest thoroughbred; Frankel.


Battle of Marengo is a deserved favourite in The King Edward VII, but favourites have a poor record and under a penalty he doesn’t appeal, especially at the prices. I’d fancy Hillstar at a price now that he is upped in trip, looking a mile and a half horse in the making on his two runs over ten furlongs. He failed to reel in High Troja last time out at Newbury, when giving him 7lb to boot. He is proven on the ground and clearly does a bit at home, entered here despite only being rated in double figures. Ryan Moore is riding out of his skin. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Tha’ir run a big race in first time cheekpieces, with his two year old form being rather smart.


A horse that I think the world of is BIG BREAK, and she is my best bet of the day in The Coronation Stakes for Dermot Weld and Pat Smullen. I backed her for the 1000 Guineas as soon as she won her maiden tag; she was that impressive on the day. She followed that up with a good win in Group Three company against the colts. She ran a cracker in the Irish 1000 Guineas, and although the ground may be a bit quick for her, she is good enough to get through it. She has to take on both winners Sky Lantern and Just The Judge, but I think she has the potential to better both here.


A trappy ten furlongs listed handicap and the most impressive bit of form in the race is Genzy finishing second to Noble Mission at Goodwood last time out. He lost to a 109 rated horse when tiring over the trip, and from an unrevised mark of 103, could be well in here. The third Moment in Time has come out and won a Group Three, and he should be competitive.


There is very little value in Leading Light at around 5/2 for The Queen’s Vase, despite ticking every box for Ballydoyle. A well-bred Montjeu colt who looks like he will be better upped in trip and the stable has a good record. Another stable with a strong record is Mark Johnston, he has three and stable jockey Joe Fanning selects Mister Impatience and he sets a good standard. He went into a lot of notepads when winning a Doncaster handicap by nine lengths, and despite flopping at Epsom, ran very well when chasing home the Derby winner Ruler of the World at Chester. The trip should suit and should bring out more improvement out of the Hernando colt.


Smarty Socks is dangerous under a penalty after hacking up at York, being tipped up on the blog and duly being smashed up in the market. However Enrol should be short in the betting but very hard to beat raised 3lb for a game second last time out at Newmarket. She got going late and only just failed to wear down Nocturn, getting there with every yard and losing by a nose. Over seven furlongs, the filly has longer to start revving the engine.


2.30 Royal Ascot – Joyeuse
3.05 Royal Ascot – Hillstar
3.45 Royal Ascot – Big Break (Nap)
4.25 Royal Ascot – Genzy
5.00 Royal Ascot – Mister Impatience
5.35 Royal Ascot – Enrol (Nb)


The Yorkshireman – Jack Milner

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