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The race and indeed the market for The Jersey Stakes features around two horses who displayed their best efforts in defeat, and that is Gale Force Ten and Montridge. Both are closely related on a form line with Irish Derby hope Trading Leather, who defeated Montridge at Newmarket last year, but then trailed Gale Force Ten in The Irish 2000 Guineas. Mutin and The Brothers War both have bold claims from France, and to a lesser extent Pearl Flute and Complimentor. Two horses I fancy both coincidently enough have similar claims based on beating Richard Hannon’s Emell, and they are Garswood and Well Acquainted. Garswood is the preferred, trainer Richard Fahey thinks the world of him, and he was far from disgrace in The Guineas, finishing seventh. His most impressive form to date came when winning the Free Handicap at Newmarket over 7f, and a renewal of that would see him go close. Pat Smullen is a very strong positive. Well Acquainted is progressing nicely, but finished four lengths behind Garswood that day, when in receipt of 3lb. There is a chance Adam Kirby may be able to nick it from the front.
The Windsor Forest is relatively open, with the top three in the market all looking to have strong claims, and all with similar form. Chigun, Dank and Duntle have all won black type races over course and distance and all come from very powerful stables, and indeed breeders. Chigun was impressive when hacking up last time out in Ireland, but before that finished behind Dank over nine furlongs at Newmarket. The most straightforward filly in the race looks to be DUNTLE though, and she has the best form in the race, unlucky to lose The Matron Stakes in the stewards room at Leopardstown. I’ve tried to see how she can lose, and unless Ryan Moore can dictate matters on Dank, she should be hard to lose with.
The St James’ Palace Stakes is billed as a rematch between Camelot and Al Kazeem, but the bigger story is the each way thievery on offer with The Fugue for John Gosden and William Buick. Her best trip is undoubtedly over a mile and a quarter, seen when winning The Nassau Stakes last year, and with the fillies’ allowance of 3lb, she should get in the frame at the very least. Camelot is overhyped, so Al Kazeem beating him doesn’t mean much. The rest of the field aren’t of this standard, and she looks a cracking punt.
The Royal Hunt Cup looks as tricky as usual, and although I managed to stick the pin in the favourite with Fast or Free last year, but those at the head of affairs this year don’t seem to have the same appeal however. The ones with sexy profiles will generally go off shorter than they should, Educate, Stirring Ballad and Trade Commissioner. Instead I like two hardened veterans of these type of races; Navajo Chief and Prince of Johanne. They finished first and second of a competitive handicap at York last month and have good records in competitive Ascot handicaps over the trip. There will be plenty of firms offering five places, so shop around!
There is no stand out in The Queen Mary, but I was astounded when Bye Bye Birdie got beat two starts ago over six furlongs at The Curragh. She tired late on to get an absolute gubbing and the raw speed she shows her to suit the trip down, as seen when winning her maiden on Sunday. Her form looks good and the fact she is Ballydoyle’s entry would be another positive. Another I was taken with early was Kaiulani for Mick Channon, who was punted like a good thing and duly obliged at Leicester. She will have more to come, and the trainer does well with juveniles at the meeting. Of those at the head of the market, Rizeena and Reroute, both owned by same connections look very interesting.
The Sandringham Handicap to finish things is another potential minefield, and it could be worth taking a chance on one of our favourite stables in Bracing Breeze for Dermot Weld and Pat Smullen. A beautifully bred filly by Juddmonte was second behind Cape of Approval last time out who then lowered the colours of Group One winning Maarek next time out. She had a 111 rated colt in behind that day, and is unexposed with only three runs to her name. Another Irish filly with strong claims is Hint of a Tint, who was second in The Guineas trial to Just Pretending in the 1000 Guineas trial. Bred on the Danehill/Galileo line, she is another unexposed filly with potential to improve.
2.30 Royal Ascot – Garswood
3.05 Royal Ascot – Duntle (Nb)
3.45 Royal Ascot – The Fugue (Nap)
4.25 Royal Ascot – Navajo Chief & Prince of Johanne
5.00 Royal Ascot – Kaiulani & Bye Bye Birdie
5.35 Royal Ascot – Bracing Breeze & Hint of a Tint
The Yorkshireman – Jack Milner
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