Tuesday 30 July 2013

Glorious Goodwood - Wednesday; Day Two

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Wednesday of Glorious Goodwood promises to be a day for the history books at Dawn Approach takes on Toronado for the third time this season in The Sussex Stakes (3.05) and Jim Bolger's son of New Approach currently leads 2-0. Given the dominance that the Richard Hannon and Richard Hughes stable have had at the meeting in recent years there is optimism from the stable that Toronado can exact revenge. That being said Dawn Approach has every quality going in a top class racehorse and providing he handles the undulating surface of the course he should seal the hat-trick for Jim Bolger and Kevin Manning thus cementing his already legendary status amongst the greats.


Mark Johnston has a cracking record at the festival with 10% of all winners here since 2004 so it would be folly to ignore his two runners in the 1.55. He runs Broxbourne under a penalty and the filly could be dangerous and she is the preferred mount of Joe Fanning with Franny Norton on the supposed second string Good Morning Star. Gassin Golf is interesting at the top of the weights but would presumably want a bit more cut and as such the most likely winner looks to be Lieutenant Miller for Nicky Henderson and Tom Queally. He chased home Tiger Cliff and Well Sharp in The Ascot Stakes and the form of the race looks very strong. He had Broxbourne in behind when winning at Doncaster and from a 2lb rise for his Royal Ascot exertions, looks sure to go well again.


The Gordon Stakes at 2.30 usually paves the way at a crack at The St Leger at Doncaster and this mile and a half contest has been won by some very smart sorts in recent years including subsequent King George winners Conduit and Harbinger for Sir Michael Stoute. Godolphin are double-handed with Irish Derby fourth Cap O'Rushes, whilst Excess Knowledge and Elkaayed have little between them based on their efforts behind Remote at Royal Ascot. As such it could be worth taking a chance on Havana Beat. He travelled in stylish fashion to finish an unlucky third last time out behind Feel Like Dancing at Newmarket and despite having ground to make up on official ratings he could be well worth a punt with the colt likely to get a strong pace to run at.


Olympic Glory won a bunched finish of the Vintage Stakes (3.40) last year with the form turning out to be rather smart and the Hannon and Hughes tend to aim their smartest juveniles here winning the last three renewals. They look to have something special on their hands with Toormore who beat Ertijaal on debut with the pair pulling seven lengths clear of the field and the second behind held in the highest regard. The fact that he is thrown into a race of such magnitude highlights what regard he is held in at the stable and where he must be in the pecking order of numerous two year olds.


A filly that continues on an upward curve is Ribbons for James Fanshawe and Freddie Tylicki and she runs in the fillies handicap at 4.50. The unbeaten daughter of Manduro made it three from three when winning comfortably at Newmarket and despite a 7lb rise she looks to be in good heart and going the right way. There are a host of well bred fillies in the race with Love Magic and Great Timing looking the most obvious dangers from two in form stables.


The finale will likely see Magic City well supported alongside other recent winners Akaud, Alejandro Nenge Mboko but all are likely to be in single figure prices and a horse that could be taken a chance on is Amanda Perrett's Johnny Castle. He finished third behind My Kingdom last time out in a race where the form is working out rather well and runs from the same mark of 83 despite those in behind coming out and running well. He can run well for a stable that has a 20% Strike Rate here in the last twelve months.

Goodwood 1.55 - Lieutenant Miller
Goodwood 2.30 - Havana Beat
Goodwood 3.05 - Dawn Approach (Nap)
Goodwood 3.40 - Toormore
Goodwood 4.50 - Ribbons
Goodwood 5.25 - Johnny Castle


The Yorkshireman – Jack Milner

Follow me on Twitter - @JJMSports

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