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A tricky card at Epsom on Oaks day, but with the majority of firms online paying Best Odds Guaranteed, there are some cracking pieces of early price value around.
In the first, the market principles have generally proven inconsistent and an ability to not get the job done and finish first, instead proving to be the perennial bridesmaid. A progressive filly who looked very smart last time out at Ascot is GIFTED GIRL for Paul Cole, and Tom Queally doing the steering. The four year old daughter of Azamour won’t mind cut despite winning on good to firm last time out, and despite unproven in the grade looks overpriced given she is entitled to come on for that run last time out. Another potentially overpriced filly is Ighraa who wasn’t beaten too far in a hot Group 3 at Longchamp last time out. Before that, she won a similar listed contest, and on the ground and over the trip, she could prove very handy under Mikael Barzalona.
Blue Surf was one of seemingly everyone’s handicappers to follow last season for Amanda Perrett after winning a Windsor contest on handicap debut over 10 furlongs, and was then punted for every middle distance handicap as the season progressed. The four year old went well fresh last year, and despite being down the field in The November Handicap, he looks on a good enough mark of 98.
Penitent thrives on soft ground, and with sufficient juice at Epson, his front-running tactics may be able to dispose of a poor looking renewal of the Diomed Stakes. The stable despite petering off slightly are still in good nick, and given Penitent would be a lot shorter if the stables were turned round, he is overpriced at 8/1.
Liber Nauticus is a horse I have been sweet on for a while, and given all bookmakers take each other on for the best prices on the morning of a big race, the 9/2 about the filly is too big. She looked to have progressed when winning The Musidora, showing a lot of scope and a big rangy filly. She battled well winning at York and was coming away at the finish line. She will be better over a mile and a half and will come on for the run. There is no better jockey than Ryan Moore.
Hipster was a horse I backed when winning at the track last season, and looked to thrive on the undulations of Epsom. His last couple of runs have indicated he may be wanting a stiff seven furlongs on ground with ease underfoot and the three year old has conditions to suit for an in form stable. Andrea Atzeni is booked, and he is another in tremendous form. 14/1 is simply too big, and I expect the price to be gobbled up.
1:35 Gifted Girl (8/1 Bet365, BetVictor & Stan James), Ighraa Ladbrokes & BetVictor 10/1)
2:10 Blue Surf (4/1 BetVictor & Stan James)
2:45 Penitent (8/1BetVictor & Stan James)
4:00 Liber Nauticus (9/2 BetVictor, Paddy Power Stan James)
5:20 Hipster (14/1 Stan James)
The Yorkshireman - Jack Milner
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