Racing on Saturday will provide a real test, with cards at Newcastle and Chepstow, where the severity of their trademark stiff finishes will be severely increased because of the anticipated heavy going. There is also racing from Kempton Park, with The Adonis Hurdle and the Racing Plus Chase being the highlights.
Kempton have had to tweak Saturday’s card due to some rearranged races. They have the Grade 2 Adonis Hurdle as well as the Grade 2 Dovecote Novices Hurdle. My focus will be the Racing Plus Chase, won last year by Quinz for the Phillip Hobbs yard, and they have a strong chance once more with ante post favourite Planet of Sound.
Three miles on a flat track usually means Nacarat is there or thereabouts, and although he should run into a place, it is hard to see him winning. The Tizzard stable had five wins inside an hour last Saturday and their runners Cannington Brook and Mount Oscar have to be respected. Deep Purple looks a classy sort off top weight, but I feel he stays all day and would want further ultimately. By process of elimination the answer could lie with FRUITY O’ ROONEY for the in-form Gary Moore yard.
He won a Class 3 handicap chase over course and distance on 27th December, meeting trouble in jumping throughout but still beating subsequent winner Midnight Appeal by four lengths. He followed up that win with a good third in the Great Yorkshire Chase behind potential Grand National horses Calgary Bay and Shakalakaboomboom. That was a fair effort and he could be a terrific each way price come the day.
The Betfred Eider Chase is a gruelling four miles and promises to test the stamina of the most hardened stayer. Horses generally need to have won over 3 ½ miles previous, and recent four miles Kelso winner EYRE SQUARE ticks all the boxes. His win in the Borders National was mightily impressive and, on softish ground, highlighted his versatility. He was given too much to do when dropping down to 3 miles in another handicap chase, when up 5lb, and jockey James Reveley can make amends here. The Ferdy Murphy trained Negus De Beaumont and Peter Niven trained Posh Bird are dangers.
AP McCoy opts to ride at Chepstow rather than Newcastle and Kempton and he has two strong chances. The first is TEAFORTHREE who has shown glimpses of class, resulting in an official rating of 146. His novice chase win on heavy ground over course and distance has led to him being aimed at the National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham, and the drop down in grade from the Feltham Chase at Kempton should provide him with a nice prep run in the build up to that.
McCoy’s other possibility is CHESTNUT BEN, who looks to put aside a disappointing run when unseating last time out. Prior to that he had won a good two mile handicap chase at Hereford by six lengths, on soft ground, in eye-catching fashion. Providing he has a clean round, he should go very close on a workable mark.
3.05 Kempton – Fruity O’ Rooney (Ew)
3.25 Newcastle – Eyre Square (Ew)
2.40 Chepstow – Teaforthree (Nap)
4.55 Chepstow – Chestnut Ben
The Yorkshireman – Jack Milner / @JJMSports
Showing posts with label Reveley. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Reveley. Show all posts
Wednesday, 22 February 2012
Tuesday, 14 February 2012
Morebattle Hurdle Day at Kelso - Wednesday February 15th
The north is carrying the torch of national hunt racing, with Musselburgh being the only card on Saturday with their John Smiths Cheltenham trials day. Stormy Weather took the big handicap hurdle and Tara Royal won the Scottish Champion Chase for the McCain yard. Back to Scotland again for Kelso’s strongest card of the year where the Class 2 Moorebattle Hurdle, won last year by Peddlers Cross, is the highlight.
The Class 2 race is often used as a prep for Cheltenham and leading novice SIMONSIG lines up here for the Nicky Henderson yard. The six year old won a bumper and novice hurdle, both in impressive fashion, before running into Fingal Bay in a class two novices hurdle. Fingal Bay subsequently won the Grade 1 Challow Hurdle, further improving the reputation of the Henderson horse. The 2 miles 2 furlongs trip should suit here. Marsh Warbler, a decent yardstick who will provide a good benchmark, looks most likely to finish second for fans of the forecast.
The Keith Reveley yard are still in good heart and, with son James booked on board, the consistent KINGS GREY should go close in the valuable novices chase. He finished third last time out in a £25k handicap chase at Doncaster, looking all over the winner two out before just getting out-battled late on. Tara Royal, fifth that day, further franked the form when winning the Scottish Champion Chase on Saturday.
Bellvano for AP McCoy, Nicky Henderson and JP McManus will be the likely favourite and came up cruising in a Newbury novice chase behind Cedre Bleu but found little off the bridle, eventually losing by 2 ½ lengths. Given Kelso’s stiff finish, the favourite could be found wanting here again and the tactically astute James Reveley may pinch this from the front.
PREMIER SAGAS runs for trainer Nicky Richards in an amateur riders handicap chase and, with the trainer’s daughter on board, the consistent eight year old can go close. After returning from a 209 day absence he ran well over course and distance, finishing fourth, before a good second behind the Jennie Candlish trained Fiendish Flame. He has been lowered 2lb in the handicap and the extra 3 furlongs should suit.
ROS CASTLE put his novice hurdle form behind him when winning a handicap hurdle last time out at Ayr under a good ride from Wilson Renwick. In-form jockey Richie McGrath has the ride here and the step up in trip should suit the unexposed six year old, who has only been raised four pounds by the handicapper. The 18 furlongs trip should bring more improvement out of him and although this looks tougher, with Sophonie and Prince Blackthorn present, he should go close.
2.10 Kelso – Kings Grey
2.40 Kelso – Ros Castle
3.10 Kelso – Premier Sagas (Nap)
3.40 Kelso – Simonsig
The Yorkshireman – Jack Milner / @JJMSports
The Class 2 race is often used as a prep for Cheltenham and leading novice SIMONSIG lines up here for the Nicky Henderson yard. The six year old won a bumper and novice hurdle, both in impressive fashion, before running into Fingal Bay in a class two novices hurdle. Fingal Bay subsequently won the Grade 1 Challow Hurdle, further improving the reputation of the Henderson horse. The 2 miles 2 furlongs trip should suit here. Marsh Warbler, a decent yardstick who will provide a good benchmark, looks most likely to finish second for fans of the forecast.
The Keith Reveley yard are still in good heart and, with son James booked on board, the consistent KINGS GREY should go close in the valuable novices chase. He finished third last time out in a £25k handicap chase at Doncaster, looking all over the winner two out before just getting out-battled late on. Tara Royal, fifth that day, further franked the form when winning the Scottish Champion Chase on Saturday.
Bellvano for AP McCoy, Nicky Henderson and JP McManus will be the likely favourite and came up cruising in a Newbury novice chase behind Cedre Bleu but found little off the bridle, eventually losing by 2 ½ lengths. Given Kelso’s stiff finish, the favourite could be found wanting here again and the tactically astute James Reveley may pinch this from the front.
PREMIER SAGAS runs for trainer Nicky Richards in an amateur riders handicap chase and, with the trainer’s daughter on board, the consistent eight year old can go close. After returning from a 209 day absence he ran well over course and distance, finishing fourth, before a good second behind the Jennie Candlish trained Fiendish Flame. He has been lowered 2lb in the handicap and the extra 3 furlongs should suit.
ROS CASTLE put his novice hurdle form behind him when winning a handicap hurdle last time out at Ayr under a good ride from Wilson Renwick. In-form jockey Richie McGrath has the ride here and the step up in trip should suit the unexposed six year old, who has only been raised four pounds by the handicapper. The 18 furlongs trip should bring more improvement out of him and although this looks tougher, with Sophonie and Prince Blackthorn present, he should go close.
2.10 Kelso – Kings Grey
2.40 Kelso – Ros Castle
3.10 Kelso – Premier Sagas (Nap)
3.40 Kelso – Simonsig
The Yorkshireman – Jack Milner / @JJMSports
Tuesday, 31 January 2012
Midweek Tipping - February 1st - Newcastle, Ludlow and Leicester
Calgary Bay warmed the cockles of this perennial old man’s heart on Saturday, and bagged The Yorkshireman another 12/1 winner for his loyal followers. There are three National Hunt fixtures on Wednesday (1st Feb) and I have spotted something worth backing at all three venues.
Firstly going to Newcastle and a horse I was clued up about from a very good source: the recent recruit for the Donald McCain yard BOURNE. This fellow formerly raced on the flat for Luca Cumani and has shown great promise over obstacles. He won his maiden hurdle in fine style, keeping on well over 2 miles 3 furlongs in the soft ground at Catterick. He disappointed next time out over two miles on better ground in a Class 3 novices hurdle, when never really travelling. The form of his first win has worked out well, with the second horse Into Wain winning two subsequent hurdle races.
We’ve had plenty success following James and Keith Reveley this season and they have a runner at the meeting too, with DANCING ART looking to go better than last time when perhaps an unlucky runner up after just failing by a short head. James takes the leg up this time instead of Richie McGrath. Running here over two and a half miles, this could bring the best out of him and, off bottom weight in the handicap, should go well.
MOSCOW CHANCER runs for the in form Tom George stable at Leicester. The stable are currently operating at a 27% strike rate since the New Year and are clearly going all guns, with both Baby Mix and Ut De Sivola in the reckoning for the Triumph Hurdle at Cheltenham. Moscow Chancer has gradually improved this season, with his best effort being a creditable third over course and distance 22 days ago. He should come on for the run (he was having his first run for 76 days last time out). The well bred gelding could throw in a good run in a race where he is chucked in on a very workable handicap mark.
Staying at Leicester, BIG EASY hacked up last Saturday, confirming market confidence when beating a good field at Doncaster, including hat-trick seeking Corkage. He runs here with a 7lb penalty but is due to go up 14lb next time. Providing he has eaten up and Saturday’s race has not taken too much out of him, he should be somewhat of a penalty kick under stable deputy Tom O’ Brien.
The final selection runs at Ludlow where our recently tipped up winner for the J P Ferguson yard, MONARCHS WAY, looks to build on a promising hurdling career which has seen him perform with credit in all starts since joining the stable. He won his debut foray into handicaps, getting up late on to win by a neck. Raised 8lb for that, he still ran well next time out, finishing fourth of fifteen runners at Warwick, losing by 3 ½ lengths in what looks on paper like a good race. He is still well handicapped, and jockey Mr J Owen has a good record in these amateur only events.
1.20 Newcastle – Bourne (Nap)
2.50 Newcastle – Dancing Art (Nb)
3.00 Leicester – Moscow Chancer
3.30 Leicester – Big Easy
3.40 Ludlow – Monarchs Way
The Yorkshireman – Jack Milner / @JJMSports
Firstly going to Newcastle and a horse I was clued up about from a very good source: the recent recruit for the Donald McCain yard BOURNE. This fellow formerly raced on the flat for Luca Cumani and has shown great promise over obstacles. He won his maiden hurdle in fine style, keeping on well over 2 miles 3 furlongs in the soft ground at Catterick. He disappointed next time out over two miles on better ground in a Class 3 novices hurdle, when never really travelling. The form of his first win has worked out well, with the second horse Into Wain winning two subsequent hurdle races.
We’ve had plenty success following James and Keith Reveley this season and they have a runner at the meeting too, with DANCING ART looking to go better than last time when perhaps an unlucky runner up after just failing by a short head. James takes the leg up this time instead of Richie McGrath. Running here over two and a half miles, this could bring the best out of him and, off bottom weight in the handicap, should go well.
MOSCOW CHANCER runs for the in form Tom George stable at Leicester. The stable are currently operating at a 27% strike rate since the New Year and are clearly going all guns, with both Baby Mix and Ut De Sivola in the reckoning for the Triumph Hurdle at Cheltenham. Moscow Chancer has gradually improved this season, with his best effort being a creditable third over course and distance 22 days ago. He should come on for the run (he was having his first run for 76 days last time out). The well bred gelding could throw in a good run in a race where he is chucked in on a very workable handicap mark.
Staying at Leicester, BIG EASY hacked up last Saturday, confirming market confidence when beating a good field at Doncaster, including hat-trick seeking Corkage. He runs here with a 7lb penalty but is due to go up 14lb next time. Providing he has eaten up and Saturday’s race has not taken too much out of him, he should be somewhat of a penalty kick under stable deputy Tom O’ Brien.
The final selection runs at Ludlow where our recently tipped up winner for the J P Ferguson yard, MONARCHS WAY, looks to build on a promising hurdling career which has seen him perform with credit in all starts since joining the stable. He won his debut foray into handicaps, getting up late on to win by a neck. Raised 8lb for that, he still ran well next time out, finishing fourth of fifteen runners at Warwick, losing by 3 ½ lengths in what looks on paper like a good race. He is still well handicapped, and jockey Mr J Owen has a good record in these amateur only events.
1.20 Newcastle – Bourne (Nap)
2.50 Newcastle – Dancing Art (Nb)
3.00 Leicester – Moscow Chancer
3.30 Leicester – Big Easy
3.40 Ludlow – Monarchs Way
The Yorkshireman – Jack Milner / @JJMSports
Sunday, 15 January 2012
A Family affair for the Reveley's at Southwell on Wednesday
A Family affair for the Reveley's at Southwell Wednesday
The weekend has thrown up a host of more questions, as opposed to answers. Swincombe Flame successfully taking the money in the William Hill Lanzariore Hurdle, under a terrific ride from young Will Kennedy, only to be tarnished with a 7 day ban for excessive use of the whip from the stewards under the shambolich new penalty system. Horses of note that come out well this weekend are Cotton Mill, Menorah, Saddlers Risk and others also laid down further credentials for their possible future dates at the Cheltenham Festival.
It has been another terrific week for the column's most promising young jockey JAMES REVELEY, who made a fine comeback from a potentially serioous concussion on Boxing Day with two winners on his first two runners back, completing a 70/1 double at Doncaster on Wednesday. He is back up north again Wednesday, with a terrific book of rides for his old man, and I think every single one of them has to be considered as having a good chance. In the last 12 months James has a 36% strike rate at Southwell, and in his last 11 rides there, has had 4 winners and a further 4 places.
Going through his rides, there are some with stronger claims than others, with an interesting one being SAMBELUCKY in the first. He has been in good form throughout the winter since winning a decent Catterick handicap, with the form coming out of the race working really well. He followed that up by a third, then a second at Huntingdon Friday, behind a seemingly well handicapped horse.
The best bet of the day looks certainly to be CORKAGE, who made amends for falling when seemingly having the race at his mercy at Catterick two starts ago, but duly obliged on James' first ride since injury at Doncaster in grand fashion. He travelled exceptionally well, and given the manner of his eight length victory, turned out under a 6lb penalty, he should be well ahead of the handicapper, to duly oblige for connections.
SAM D'OC was pulled up last time out after struggling with his jumping, when running in the same race as Sambelucky, when he finished third, and as such, is tried over hurdles here in the 1.45. The horse looked scared of the larger obstacles, and the move to hurdling could sparkle some old magic in the maiden, and could be a large price and a sleeper in the market.
NIGHT IN MILAN is another consistent sort who has been knocking on the door, with an unlucky second at Sedgfield, followed up by a rather laboured fourth at Market Rasen, when struggling with a 5lb hike from the handicapper. The well bred son of Milan carries the famous colours of Mr Richard Collins, and those have been seen to great effect this year, the white silks, with a blue V and a pink hat. The trainer/owner combo has placed in 45% of all stats, a comforting stat, and will be hoping to build on only one win in the last six weeks.
OAKSLANDS ELISE runs in the last, a National Hunt Flat race, and on paper, looks a very interesting prospect. Bred out of a multiple winning mare, and comes from a successful family, including two half brothers who have both won bumpers in the last 18 months. The stable are usually quite good at getting them ready first time out, with a 27% strike rate showing a +£7 profit to a £1 stake backing them in NHF races,
12.40 Southwell - Sambelucky (Nb)
13.10 Southwell - Corkage (Nap)
13.45 Southwell - Sam D'oc
14.50 Southwell - Night in Milan
15.55 Southwell - Oaklands Elise
The Yorkshireman - Jack Milner @JJMSports
The weekend has thrown up a host of more questions, as opposed to answers. Swincombe Flame successfully taking the money in the William Hill Lanzariore Hurdle, under a terrific ride from young Will Kennedy, only to be tarnished with a 7 day ban for excessive use of the whip from the stewards under the shambolich new penalty system. Horses of note that come out well this weekend are Cotton Mill, Menorah, Saddlers Risk and others also laid down further credentials for their possible future dates at the Cheltenham Festival.
It has been another terrific week for the column's most promising young jockey JAMES REVELEY, who made a fine comeback from a potentially serioous concussion on Boxing Day with two winners on his first two runners back, completing a 70/1 double at Doncaster on Wednesday. He is back up north again Wednesday, with a terrific book of rides for his old man, and I think every single one of them has to be considered as having a good chance. In the last 12 months James has a 36% strike rate at Southwell, and in his last 11 rides there, has had 4 winners and a further 4 places.
Going through his rides, there are some with stronger claims than others, with an interesting one being SAMBELUCKY in the first. He has been in good form throughout the winter since winning a decent Catterick handicap, with the form coming out of the race working really well. He followed that up by a third, then a second at Huntingdon Friday, behind a seemingly well handicapped horse.
The best bet of the day looks certainly to be CORKAGE, who made amends for falling when seemingly having the race at his mercy at Catterick two starts ago, but duly obliged on James' first ride since injury at Doncaster in grand fashion. He travelled exceptionally well, and given the manner of his eight length victory, turned out under a 6lb penalty, he should be well ahead of the handicapper, to duly oblige for connections.
SAM D'OC was pulled up last time out after struggling with his jumping, when running in the same race as Sambelucky, when he finished third, and as such, is tried over hurdles here in the 1.45. The horse looked scared of the larger obstacles, and the move to hurdling could sparkle some old magic in the maiden, and could be a large price and a sleeper in the market.
NIGHT IN MILAN is another consistent sort who has been knocking on the door, with an unlucky second at Sedgfield, followed up by a rather laboured fourth at Market Rasen, when struggling with a 5lb hike from the handicapper. The well bred son of Milan carries the famous colours of Mr Richard Collins, and those have been seen to great effect this year, the white silks, with a blue V and a pink hat. The trainer/owner combo has placed in 45% of all stats, a comforting stat, and will be hoping to build on only one win in the last six weeks.
OAKSLANDS ELISE runs in the last, a National Hunt Flat race, and on paper, looks a very interesting prospect. Bred out of a multiple winning mare, and comes from a successful family, including two half brothers who have both won bumpers in the last 18 months. The stable are usually quite good at getting them ready first time out, with a 27% strike rate showing a +£7 profit to a £1 stake backing them in NHF races,
12.40 Southwell - Sambelucky (Nb)
13.10 Southwell - Corkage (Nap)
13.45 Southwell - Sam D'oc
14.50 Southwell - Night in Milan
15.55 Southwell - Oaklands Elise
The Yorkshireman - Jack Milner @JJMSports
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