Racing on Saturday will provide a real test, with cards at Newcastle and Chepstow, where the severity of their trademark stiff finishes will be severely increased because of the anticipated heavy going. There is also racing from Kempton Park, with The Adonis Hurdle and the Racing Plus Chase being the highlights.
Kempton have had to tweak Saturday’s card due to some rearranged races. They have the Grade 2 Adonis Hurdle as well as the Grade 2 Dovecote Novices Hurdle. My focus will be the Racing Plus Chase, won last year by Quinz for the Phillip Hobbs yard, and they have a strong chance once more with ante post favourite Planet of Sound.
Three miles on a flat track usually means Nacarat is there or thereabouts, and although he should run into a place, it is hard to see him winning. The Tizzard stable had five wins inside an hour last Saturday and their runners Cannington Brook and Mount Oscar have to be respected. Deep Purple looks a classy sort off top weight, but I feel he stays all day and would want further ultimately. By process of elimination the answer could lie with FRUITY O’ ROONEY for the in-form Gary Moore yard.
He won a Class 3 handicap chase over course and distance on 27th December, meeting trouble in jumping throughout but still beating subsequent winner Midnight Appeal by four lengths. He followed up that win with a good third in the Great Yorkshire Chase behind potential Grand National horses Calgary Bay and Shakalakaboomboom. That was a fair effort and he could be a terrific each way price come the day.
The Betfred Eider Chase is a gruelling four miles and promises to test the stamina of the most hardened stayer. Horses generally need to have won over 3 ½ miles previous, and recent four miles Kelso winner EYRE SQUARE ticks all the boxes. His win in the Borders National was mightily impressive and, on softish ground, highlighted his versatility. He was given too much to do when dropping down to 3 miles in another handicap chase, when up 5lb, and jockey James Reveley can make amends here. The Ferdy Murphy trained Negus De Beaumont and Peter Niven trained Posh Bird are dangers.
AP McCoy opts to ride at Chepstow rather than Newcastle and Kempton and he has two strong chances. The first is TEAFORTHREE who has shown glimpses of class, resulting in an official rating of 146. His novice chase win on heavy ground over course and distance has led to him being aimed at the National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham, and the drop down in grade from the Feltham Chase at Kempton should provide him with a nice prep run in the build up to that.
McCoy’s other possibility is CHESTNUT BEN, who looks to put aside a disappointing run when unseating last time out. Prior to that he had won a good two mile handicap chase at Hereford by six lengths, on soft ground, in eye-catching fashion. Providing he has a clean round, he should go very close on a workable mark.
3.05 Kempton – Fruity O’ Rooney (Ew)
3.25 Newcastle – Eyre Square (Ew)
2.40 Chepstow – Teaforthree (Nap)
4.55 Chepstow – Chestnut Ben
The Yorkshireman – Jack Milner / @JJMSports
Showing posts with label Kempton. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Kempton. Show all posts
Wednesday, 22 February 2012
Monday, 6 February 2012
Midweek Talking Turf - Wednesday February 8th at Kempton and Lingfield
A weekend of disappointment, with all National Hunt cards being abandoned. I turned my attentions to the range of other sporting options including Six Nations Rugby, Super League, Premier League football, World Cup of darts, German Masters snooker and the Superbowl, so it wasn’t all bad.
With the weather unrelenting, we’ll focus most of our attention on Kempton where they have an eight race card on Wednesday. There are meetings at Carlisle, Lingfield and Ludlow, although it doesn’t look too good for the jumps cards, with Market Rasen and Sedgefield both already being abandoned on Tuesday.
LADY CAPRICE is a horse who has been on the upgrade since joining Jane Chapple-Hyam, winning back to back handicaps at Wolverhampton and Lingfield, and she can complete the hatrick in the 3.25 at Kempton. Although up 13lb for her two wins, she is 3 out of 9 running over 5 furlongs and looks to be on the upgrade.
SATWA LAIRD is a horse who has been unfortunate in terms of living up to his potential in the last year or so, but showed sparks of life in his last two starts for David Simcock. He himself is in a rich vein of form, with ten runners since the turn of the year, four have been winners, whilst a further three places. Satwa Laird is the best well off at the weights, and with retained jockey Jamie Spencer on board, he should win with a shade of comfort.
Discoverer is an interesting horse for the John Gosden in the 4.30, the best race on the card, a class four handicap for three year olds. He has ran twice, showing promise on his maiden run, finishing behind the promising Bronze Angel, who franked the form next time out. The second and fifth both won next time out, so there was excitement when it came to his next run, winning a six runner maiden at the prohibitive odds of 1/7. He did the bare minimum, this protecting his handicap mark, and gets a very nice mark of 78 to play with. It is also a booster that each of the trainers last five runners have been placed at the very worst, with two winners, and has a 24% strike rate at Kempton Park.
An eye-catching booking in the 7.35 is Jamie Spencer riding CATCHY TUNE for the David Brown yard, who looks thrown into a Class 6 handicap after three runs in decent maidens over the summer. The chestnut colt could be anything, so a market check would be advisable. If the money comes that could further enhance his claims.
3.25 Kempton – Lady Caprice (Nab)
3.55 Kempton – Satwa Laird (Nb)
4.35 Kempton – Discoverer
5.00 Kempton – Catchy Tune
The Yorkshireman – Jack Milner @JJMSports
With the weather unrelenting, we’ll focus most of our attention on Kempton where they have an eight race card on Wednesday. There are meetings at Carlisle, Lingfield and Ludlow, although it doesn’t look too good for the jumps cards, with Market Rasen and Sedgefield both already being abandoned on Tuesday.
LADY CAPRICE is a horse who has been on the upgrade since joining Jane Chapple-Hyam, winning back to back handicaps at Wolverhampton and Lingfield, and she can complete the hatrick in the 3.25 at Kempton. Although up 13lb for her two wins, she is 3 out of 9 running over 5 furlongs and looks to be on the upgrade.
SATWA LAIRD is a horse who has been unfortunate in terms of living up to his potential in the last year or so, but showed sparks of life in his last two starts for David Simcock. He himself is in a rich vein of form, with ten runners since the turn of the year, four have been winners, whilst a further three places. Satwa Laird is the best well off at the weights, and with retained jockey Jamie Spencer on board, he should win with a shade of comfort.
Discoverer is an interesting horse for the John Gosden in the 4.30, the best race on the card, a class four handicap for three year olds. He has ran twice, showing promise on his maiden run, finishing behind the promising Bronze Angel, who franked the form next time out. The second and fifth both won next time out, so there was excitement when it came to his next run, winning a six runner maiden at the prohibitive odds of 1/7. He did the bare minimum, this protecting his handicap mark, and gets a very nice mark of 78 to play with. It is also a booster that each of the trainers last five runners have been placed at the very worst, with two winners, and has a 24% strike rate at Kempton Park.
An eye-catching booking in the 7.35 is Jamie Spencer riding CATCHY TUNE for the David Brown yard, who looks thrown into a Class 6 handicap after three runs in decent maidens over the summer. The chestnut colt could be anything, so a market check would be advisable. If the money comes that could further enhance his claims.
3.25 Kempton – Lady Caprice (Nab)
3.55 Kempton – Satwa Laird (Nb)
4.35 Kempton – Discoverer
5.00 Kempton – Catchy Tune
The Yorkshireman – Jack Milner @JJMSports
Tuesday, 10 January 2012
Weekend Tipping at Kempton Park and Warwick - Saturday 14th January 2012
A terrific weekend of National Hunt sport once more, with Kempton putting on a fantastic card filled with variety and their highlight being the William Hill Lanzarote Hurdle. Warwick also have one of their strongest cards of the year, with the Neptune Investment Novices Hurdle (Grade 2) being their showpiece, with the race being seen as a stepping stone to one of the novice races at the Cheltenham Festival.
A horse whom I have followed her progress for the last couple of months now is SWINCOMBE FLAME for the Nick Williams yard, who has had some very good success since switching hurdling. After winning two bumpers, one of which was a listed race at Sandown. Two wins and a second in three starts over hurdles, the mare has a lot of class about her, and got a good ride last time out under Will Kennedy, who retains the ride here once more. She is stepped up in trip to 2 miles 5 furlongs, over a was tipped up distance where she has the potential to thrive. The mare looks to be well treated, and the same connections won this race last year as well, so know what it takes to win a race of this calibre.
Emma Lavelle has treated followers of the column well in the last couple of months, and she has two more fancies, both running at Warwick. The first of note is HIGHLAND LODGE, who was tipped up last time out in a Haydock Novice Hurdle, and won in convincing manner, beating two subsequent winners, with some nice form in the book. The gelding now has two wins from two starts after winning a point to point in Ireland last spring. The well bred son of Flemensfirth has a tough race at this hands here, but given the manner of his previous victories, he could be very special. Cotton Mill and Barbatos look to be the most dangerous challenger of the field, in what looks like a relatively strong renewal.
Her other leading fancy comes in the last race on the card, the bumper, where LE BEC looks a very intruiging prospect. The yard has a 13% strike rate in NHF races, however a +£12.00 profit to a £1 stake, looks a fair better statistic for a yard who often slip under the radar, which bodes well in terms of value. At Warwick in bumpers, the yard is 1-2-5 from Warwick bumpers, and with no serious entries from suitors Nicholls, Henderson and Hobbs, he should give a good account of himself.
MONARCHS WAY was successfully tipped up last time out, and battled well when seemingly struggling with the Taunton undulations, as well as getting hampered three furlongs out. His neck winning margin means he is very well treated on his second run in handicap company. The form hasn't worked too well, but this beautifully bred gelding will surely have more to come for a training outfit going places, and with stable jockey Jack Quinlan having a tremendous record with 14 wins from 33 starts for the stable, and an impressive £30.98 profit to a £1 level stake.
EDUCATED EVANS looks to have the ability of a staying chaser in the making, with two terrific wins in good company at Newbury and an even more impressive win at Chepstow, being punted off the boards, before routing a field of eight runners by twenty two lengths on good ground in the stick South Wales track. The handicapper has raised him accordingly, but that might not be enough, and given how well the form has worked out, he should have a good chance with the third, fourth and fifth all coming out and winning, and the second and sixth finishing second, absolutely franked.
12.50 Warwick - Monarchs Way
14.00 Warwick - Educated Evans
15.05 Warwick - Highland Lodge
16.10 Warwick - Le Bec
15.20 Kemtpon - Swincombe Flame
The Yorkshireman - Jack Milner
A horse whom I have followed her progress for the last couple of months now is SWINCOMBE FLAME for the Nick Williams yard, who has had some very good success since switching hurdling. After winning two bumpers, one of which was a listed race at Sandown. Two wins and a second in three starts over hurdles, the mare has a lot of class about her, and got a good ride last time out under Will Kennedy, who retains the ride here once more. She is stepped up in trip to 2 miles 5 furlongs, over a was tipped up distance where she has the potential to thrive. The mare looks to be well treated, and the same connections won this race last year as well, so know what it takes to win a race of this calibre.
Emma Lavelle has treated followers of the column well in the last couple of months, and she has two more fancies, both running at Warwick. The first of note is HIGHLAND LODGE, who was tipped up last time out in a Haydock Novice Hurdle, and won in convincing manner, beating two subsequent winners, with some nice form in the book. The gelding now has two wins from two starts after winning a point to point in Ireland last spring. The well bred son of Flemensfirth has a tough race at this hands here, but given the manner of his previous victories, he could be very special. Cotton Mill and Barbatos look to be the most dangerous challenger of the field, in what looks like a relatively strong renewal.
Her other leading fancy comes in the last race on the card, the bumper, where LE BEC looks a very intruiging prospect. The yard has a 13% strike rate in NHF races, however a +£12.00 profit to a £1 stake, looks a fair better statistic for a yard who often slip under the radar, which bodes well in terms of value. At Warwick in bumpers, the yard is 1-2-5 from Warwick bumpers, and with no serious entries from suitors Nicholls, Henderson and Hobbs, he should give a good account of himself.
MONARCHS WAY was successfully tipped up last time out, and battled well when seemingly struggling with the Taunton undulations, as well as getting hampered three furlongs out. His neck winning margin means he is very well treated on his second run in handicap company. The form hasn't worked too well, but this beautifully bred gelding will surely have more to come for a training outfit going places, and with stable jockey Jack Quinlan having a tremendous record with 14 wins from 33 starts for the stable, and an impressive £30.98 profit to a £1 level stake.
EDUCATED EVANS looks to have the ability of a staying chaser in the making, with two terrific wins in good company at Newbury and an even more impressive win at Chepstow, being punted off the boards, before routing a field of eight runners by twenty two lengths on good ground in the stick South Wales track. The handicapper has raised him accordingly, but that might not be enough, and given how well the form has worked out, he should have a good chance with the third, fourth and fifth all coming out and winning, and the second and sixth finishing second, absolutely franked.
12.50 Warwick - Monarchs Way
14.00 Warwick - Educated Evans
15.05 Warwick - Highland Lodge
16.10 Warwick - Le Bec
15.20 Kemtpon - Swincombe Flame
The Yorkshireman - Jack Milner
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