Newbury on Saturday is being billed as ‘Super Saturday’ and it looks like it might live up to its name with the Denman Chase and the Game Spirit Chase featuring. On top of this last season’s Triumph Hurdle winner Zarkander goes for the Betfair Hurdle, where he is a hot favourite. Ireland goes toe-to-toe on the class front with a whopping four Grade Ones at Leopardstown on Sunday.
SPRINTER SACRE is a horse I have harped on about for months now and I got on early in the Arkle ante-post market. I fully expect him to rout his opponents in the Game Spirit Chase on this, his last stop before Cheltenham. The race has been good to trainer Nicky Henderson and his winner from last year, French Opera, is also entered although the ground will dictate whether he’ll run or not. Sprinter Sacre is the top rated horse in the line up following his demolition of Peddlers Cross at Kempton. Cue Card will make the running and will put up a good fight but Sprinter Sacre is an top class and it’d be no surprise were he a multiple winner of championship races in years to come.
They say always forgive a horse one bad run and I’m happy to apply this tenet to EDUCATED EVANS (2.20 Warwick). He tipped up last time out when seeking the hatrick but had run in the most bizarre fashion. He would barely start and had to be really got after by Sam Twiston-Davies to get going. He then badly blundered at both the first two fences before being pulled up. If that was a hiccup and he runs to the form of the previous two runs I think he will give a good account of himself here.
The Betfair Hurdle is one of the most exciting races in the national hunt calendar and the Paul Nicholls trained Zarkander is the short priced ante post favourite. He looks the most obvious candidate in this two mile handicap hurdle but the value prices have now gone.
The two mile handicap hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival is usually a firm pointer, and four have made the cut, Get Me out of Here and Final Approach, Soldatino and Alarazi, but all are overlooked.
Five year olds have a terrific record in the race, a pointer to the chances of EMPIRE LEVANT and THIRD INTENTION. The Colin Tizzard trained Third Intention finished nine lengths behind Zarkander in the Triumph Hurdle and has the same 9lb in receipt at official weights here. He ran well in the Greatwood at Cheltenham, before an even better second behind leading Triumph contender Ranjaan and the run should have him sport on.
Empire Levant won a handicap by 28 lengths at Taunton, hard held. He then ran two days later, and got out battled by Rock on Ruby, who went onto to finish a narrow second in the Christmas Hurdle at Kempton, with the third Raya Star winning the Ladbroke. He is up 12lb, but the trainer fancies his chances and he could be another with something in hand of the handicapper.
2.20 Warwick – Educated Evans
3.10 Newbury – Sprinter Sacre (Nap)
3.45 Newbury – Empire Levant (Ew) & Third Intention (Ew)
The Yorkshireman – Jack Milner - @JJMSports
Showing posts with label Warwick. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Warwick. Show all posts
Wednesday, 8 February 2012
Tuesday, 10 January 2012
Weekend Tipping at Kempton Park and Warwick - Saturday 14th January 2012
A terrific weekend of National Hunt sport once more, with Kempton putting on a fantastic card filled with variety and their highlight being the William Hill Lanzarote Hurdle. Warwick also have one of their strongest cards of the year, with the Neptune Investment Novices Hurdle (Grade 2) being their showpiece, with the race being seen as a stepping stone to one of the novice races at the Cheltenham Festival.
A horse whom I have followed her progress for the last couple of months now is SWINCOMBE FLAME for the Nick Williams yard, who has had some very good success since switching hurdling. After winning two bumpers, one of which was a listed race at Sandown. Two wins and a second in three starts over hurdles, the mare has a lot of class about her, and got a good ride last time out under Will Kennedy, who retains the ride here once more. She is stepped up in trip to 2 miles 5 furlongs, over a was tipped up distance where she has the potential to thrive. The mare looks to be well treated, and the same connections won this race last year as well, so know what it takes to win a race of this calibre.
Emma Lavelle has treated followers of the column well in the last couple of months, and she has two more fancies, both running at Warwick. The first of note is HIGHLAND LODGE, who was tipped up last time out in a Haydock Novice Hurdle, and won in convincing manner, beating two subsequent winners, with some nice form in the book. The gelding now has two wins from two starts after winning a point to point in Ireland last spring. The well bred son of Flemensfirth has a tough race at this hands here, but given the manner of his previous victories, he could be very special. Cotton Mill and Barbatos look to be the most dangerous challenger of the field, in what looks like a relatively strong renewal.
Her other leading fancy comes in the last race on the card, the bumper, where LE BEC looks a very intruiging prospect. The yard has a 13% strike rate in NHF races, however a +£12.00 profit to a £1 stake, looks a fair better statistic for a yard who often slip under the radar, which bodes well in terms of value. At Warwick in bumpers, the yard is 1-2-5 from Warwick bumpers, and with no serious entries from suitors Nicholls, Henderson and Hobbs, he should give a good account of himself.
MONARCHS WAY was successfully tipped up last time out, and battled well when seemingly struggling with the Taunton undulations, as well as getting hampered three furlongs out. His neck winning margin means he is very well treated on his second run in handicap company. The form hasn't worked too well, but this beautifully bred gelding will surely have more to come for a training outfit going places, and with stable jockey Jack Quinlan having a tremendous record with 14 wins from 33 starts for the stable, and an impressive £30.98 profit to a £1 level stake.
EDUCATED EVANS looks to have the ability of a staying chaser in the making, with two terrific wins in good company at Newbury and an even more impressive win at Chepstow, being punted off the boards, before routing a field of eight runners by twenty two lengths on good ground in the stick South Wales track. The handicapper has raised him accordingly, but that might not be enough, and given how well the form has worked out, he should have a good chance with the third, fourth and fifth all coming out and winning, and the second and sixth finishing second, absolutely franked.
12.50 Warwick - Monarchs Way
14.00 Warwick - Educated Evans
15.05 Warwick - Highland Lodge
16.10 Warwick - Le Bec
15.20 Kemtpon - Swincombe Flame
The Yorkshireman - Jack Milner
A horse whom I have followed her progress for the last couple of months now is SWINCOMBE FLAME for the Nick Williams yard, who has had some very good success since switching hurdling. After winning two bumpers, one of which was a listed race at Sandown. Two wins and a second in three starts over hurdles, the mare has a lot of class about her, and got a good ride last time out under Will Kennedy, who retains the ride here once more. She is stepped up in trip to 2 miles 5 furlongs, over a was tipped up distance where she has the potential to thrive. The mare looks to be well treated, and the same connections won this race last year as well, so know what it takes to win a race of this calibre.
Emma Lavelle has treated followers of the column well in the last couple of months, and she has two more fancies, both running at Warwick. The first of note is HIGHLAND LODGE, who was tipped up last time out in a Haydock Novice Hurdle, and won in convincing manner, beating two subsequent winners, with some nice form in the book. The gelding now has two wins from two starts after winning a point to point in Ireland last spring. The well bred son of Flemensfirth has a tough race at this hands here, but given the manner of his previous victories, he could be very special. Cotton Mill and Barbatos look to be the most dangerous challenger of the field, in what looks like a relatively strong renewal.
Her other leading fancy comes in the last race on the card, the bumper, where LE BEC looks a very intruiging prospect. The yard has a 13% strike rate in NHF races, however a +£12.00 profit to a £1 stake, looks a fair better statistic for a yard who often slip under the radar, which bodes well in terms of value. At Warwick in bumpers, the yard is 1-2-5 from Warwick bumpers, and with no serious entries from suitors Nicholls, Henderson and Hobbs, he should give a good account of himself.
MONARCHS WAY was successfully tipped up last time out, and battled well when seemingly struggling with the Taunton undulations, as well as getting hampered three furlongs out. His neck winning margin means he is very well treated on his second run in handicap company. The form hasn't worked too well, but this beautifully bred gelding will surely have more to come for a training outfit going places, and with stable jockey Jack Quinlan having a tremendous record with 14 wins from 33 starts for the stable, and an impressive £30.98 profit to a £1 level stake.
EDUCATED EVANS looks to have the ability of a staying chaser in the making, with two terrific wins in good company at Newbury and an even more impressive win at Chepstow, being punted off the boards, before routing a field of eight runners by twenty two lengths on good ground in the stick South Wales track. The handicapper has raised him accordingly, but that might not be enough, and given how well the form has worked out, he should have a good chance with the third, fourth and fifth all coming out and winning, and the second and sixth finishing second, absolutely franked.
12.50 Warwick - Monarchs Way
14.00 Warwick - Educated Evans
15.05 Warwick - Highland Lodge
16.10 Warwick - Le Bec
15.20 Kemtpon - Swincombe Flame
The Yorkshireman - Jack Milner
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